Farmland Management Scale and Education Investment in Chinese Rural Families: Analysis based on 887 administrative villages in 31 provinces

本文使用全国31省“千村”的入户调查数据，分析了在农地流转和农村劳动力转移不充分的条件下土地禀赋对农户子女教育年限选择的影响，发现土地禀赋通过收入效应和替代效应渠道交互影响教育决策。对于目前在农村的大多数家庭，土地禀赋对教育投资的替代效应占主导地位。并且家庭土地面积、劳动力教育水平对农户收入的影响存在区间差异，只有在家庭土地面积的对数高于门限值2014时，土地禀赋和教育投入才有可能形成有效率的资源配置，更有效地提高农户家庭收入。中国农村平均土地经营规模化还没有达到促进农民增收和推动农村剩余劳动力城镇就业的程度。

Based on the data of 31 provinces in China collected by the “Thousand Villages” household survey, this paper analyzes the impact of farmland management scale on farmers’ investment in their offspring’s education. The farmland management scale influences education investment through the interaction of income and substitute effect. Substitute effect has a dominant impact on most families. The impact of both family management scale and labor education on the rural family income shows significant range effect. That is, if and only if logarithmic management scale is above the threshold value of 2.014, the farmland management scale and education investment will improve the family income efficiently. In other words, the scale of farmland management in China is not large enough to improve rural family income or to increase the employment of surplus agricultural labor in urban area.

杨晔、徐研

本文为国家自然科学基金项目（项目编号：71273165、71573163、71273166）的系列研究成果。

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